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Data Shows Derby Jockeys Miscalculated

Thursday, 9th July 2020

In an interesting twist to the recent shock Gr1 Epsom Derby result where the first three home averaged a $42.60 starting price, theguardian.com has revealed sectional times that show it became all but impossible for leading rival horses to catch outsider Serpentine in the 12 furlong English Classic. According to the report, on a raceday that resulted in a 31% increase in peak viewership of 2.3 million and a result described by cashed-up bookmaker William Hill as its best ever in the history of the Derby, pacemaker Serpentine was gifted an effective 22-lengths by English King, for example. That deduction is based on Serpentine setting fractions between the second and ninth furlongs that were cummulatively over four seconds faster than his heavily fancied rival. Not alone in misjudging what was happening up front, English King’s champion jockey Frankie Dettori managed to pull 2-seconds or nearly 12 seconds off the leader over the last 3 furlongs, by which time the bird had flown. The other big hope, Kameko, was a lot closer for rider Oisin Murphy, however the added distance of the Derby found his mount’s stamina wanting. In addition, Murphy – not wanting to make his move too early – explained he’d been caught in effective no-man’s land with the horses directly in front of him off the bridle a long way out as they vainly attempted to stay in touch with Serpentine.

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